NZD/USD News and Analysis

New Zealand

NZD/USD Recovers From 1-Month Lows, Fed Intentions in Focus

Although the domestic dairy auction data provided no New Zealand dollar support NZD/USD found support at 1-month lows. The Federal Reserve minutes will be...
New Zealand

NZD/USD Little Changed In Holiday Trading

NZD/USD has traded within a tight range to start the new week. The pair gapped slightly lower to start out the new week...
new zealand flag

NZD/USD Turns Lower To Erase Weekly Gain

After trading in a tight range on Thursday, NZD/USD turned lower, erasing about three quarters of Wednesday's gain. The pair has turned back...
new zealand auckland skyline

NZD/USD Fails To Follow Through Following Wednesday’s Advance

NZD/USD reversed sharply higher on Wednesday, inspired by a weaker dollar following the US CPI and retail sales release. The pair posted a...

Live NZD/USD Chart

NZD/USD is a currency pair classified as one of the Majors. The New Zealand Dollar is considered a commodity currency and carries the highest yield among the major currencies.

Nicknames

The most common nickname for the New Zealand Dollar is Kiwi. The currency pair is sometimes referred to as the Kiwi, or Kiwi Dollar. The nickname is a commonly given to New Zealand citizens and stems from their national flightless bird.

NZD/USD Correlations

The New Zealand Dollar tends to have correlated movements with other commodity currencies such as the Australian Dollar and Canadian Dollar because of similarities in their economies.

Because New Zealand tends to offer the highest interest rate among the major economies, the currency is often used in carry trades. As these trades gain popularity during periods of increased risk appetite, the NZD/USD will carry positive correlation with other risk-based assets, such as the equity markets. These correlations tend to be strongest when there is clear risk sentiment driving the markets, and are known to diverge often.

What Factors Affect NZD/USD?

Interest rate differentials are a big driver of the NZD/USD exchange rate. During periods of US Dollar weakness, often the currency pair is preferred as it is associated with the largest carry interest. But as New Zealand is export driven, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is active in lowering the value of their exchange rate.

When exports decrease, lowering the exchange rate can offset some of the loss in income, and increase demand. The RBNZ can lower the interest rate to maintain a lower exchange rate, and is often involved in ‘jaw-boning’ the currency down, essentially threatening to intervene in an attempt to reduce bullish sentiment in the markets for its currency. Further information in regards the RBNZ can be found at its official site. Further information on the US central bank, the Federal Reserve, can be found at https://www.federalreserve.gov/.

Risk sentiment also influences NZD/USD. During periods of risk appetite, investors seek out the currency for its positive yield, while heavy selling is seen during risk aversion as investors are quick to exit out of the currency pair.

New Zealand’s export industry is driven by dairy products. New Zealand releases a bi-weekly economic release updating their global dairy trade index figures. As exports comprise a large part of their GDP, a decline in exports, or specifically dairy, can impact the economy in a negative manner. Poor performance in the economy can lead to a weaker New Zealand Dollar, or trigger action from the central bank, once again leading to a weaker NZD.

When Does NZD/USD Experience Volatility?

NZD/USD tends to experience its highest volatility during the North American and European overlap, similar to most majors. The pair tends to have fairly steady volatility during other parts of the day as well, as economic releases are scheduled during the Asian session, a time that is usually quiet for the other currency pairs.

Who Trades the NZD/USD?

NZD/USD is commonly traded by investors looking for yield through a carry trade. The higher cost associated with shorting the pair deters traders during extended periods of US Dollar strength. The commission on the currency pair tends to be higher than most majors, if not the highest. For this reason, the pair is less popular among scalpers.

Position traders and intraday traders tend to drive more volume in the pair. The pair is also known to offer volatility during Asian hours, and often as the North American session tends to slow ahead of the Asian open, traders will look to the pair for volatility, especially if there is an economic release on the schedule.

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